Reivers Dustin 11/06/23 #34679

I'm feeling poopie about tomorrow's West Wind. The whole bay gets full of rebound due to reflected waves. All you stout youngsters can go tear off a piece and post up about it.
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Duncan Howat
11/06/23 #34680
Sounds like a electric powered leaf blower to me. Or it could just get nasty.
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Eric Grossman
11/06/23 #34681
Do you mean with these? Surely it will be good between Governors and Wildcat - with perhaps extra energy coming through Hales Passage! otherwise Birch Bay.

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–
Eric E. Grossman, PhD
Research Geologist, U.S. Geological Survey
Pacific Coastal and Marine Science Center
Tribal Liaison, USGS Natural Hazards Mission Area
Dept. of Geology, Western Washington University
516 High St, MS 9080, Bellingham, WA 98225
360-650-4697 (office) 831-234-4674 (cell)
email: egrossman@…
http://walrus.wr.usgs.gov/climate-change/lowNRG.html
https://walrus.wr.usgs.gov/coastal_processes/cosmos/puget/index.html
http://coralreefs.wr.usgs.gov/
http://puget.usgs.gov/

ooooo EXCUSE ME I DON'T MEAN TO IMPOSE, BUT I AM THE OCEAN ooooo
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D. Thompson 11/06/23 #34682
https://www.facebook.com/groups/BirchBayPaddlers/permalink/2611411612368752/?mibextid=2JQ9oc
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Reivers Dustin 11/06/23 #34683
Birch Bay might get rock-a-hula. Lots of fetch across Straights of Georgia. As far as Wildcat - Governors, that's a north-south line. no good in a Westerly. real good in a Norther.
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Dan Mayhew 11/06/23 #34684
I've had some nice paddles in Westerlies. Straight out to the weather buoy near the south end Portage Island and surf back to MP. Am I missing something that is privy to our our more experienced paddlers? Does it turn nasty over a certain mph?
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Reivers Dustin 11/06/23 #34685
I just have childhood trauma issues. There's a waveshape because they develop and run straight into the bowl shape of the bay, then rebound back out so they get short and steep with some noise mixed in. Tomorrow is actually light air, so it's not so bad (if it stays light air). But if it gets some steady 20 plus, it becomes a shit-show off any vertical shorelines (like drydock, the wall, etc.)

But maybe its just me that it doesn't like.
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Eric Grossman
11/06/23 #34686
It seems the graphic I emailed earlier didn’t transmit, does this one show wind speeds (green color) and directions (arrows)? This is 1-km HRDPS forecast for tomorrow at 1000 local time, 16Z. Winds predicted to decrease after.
Eric

image0.jpeg

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Dan Mayhew 11/07/23 #34687
Probably should consider the Nooksack flow into the chaos factor. It's at around 7 ft today, which doesn't sound excessive.

The wind predictions have come down so we could be looking at fun waves with some playfulness near shore. Of course optimism can lead you into a real s#+*show on the bay.

See some of you at 10.
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Reivers Dustin 11/07/23 #34688
This forecast is very different than “Igetwind”, “Ikitesurf”, or “Bellingham Kiteboarding” Those are showing dead Westerlies, not NorthWester.

This should be interesting to see what actually happens.
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Eric Grossman
11/07/23 #34689
Looks like a very different story in BBay vs Birch Bay! So interesting and complex to forecast here.
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Paul Reavley
11/07/23 #34690
The Birch Bay webcam hasn't updated for me since 9:19 but it looks like it is rocking there. European model indicates it will still be good until at least about 2 pm.
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Duncan Howat
11/07/23 #34691
Just finished battling that big west wind towards portage fight against 4 inch waves going out about 3 1/2 miles out turned and caught the 2 inch waves coming back with maybe no wind however the water is gray from the Nooksack so that’s troubling other than that
a great morning

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D. Thompson 11/07/23 #34692
Around 10am: The report from my upper deck confirms good size breaking 4+/- footers from the SW diminishing as the wind clocked more toward WSW with Birch Bay in the lee and moving the best DW runs quite a bit outside the Bay.
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Larry Goolsby
11/08/23 #34693
Reivers….Have you tried the weather site 'ihavewind'?